UKS Łódź vs GKS Katowice W Statistics & Analysis

UKS Łódź

May 23, 2026 - 10:00

1 1.45

2 1.25

xG Accuracy: 72%

GKS Katowice W

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 UKS Łódź GKS Katowice W ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 0-1, 2-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 07, 2026 · 12:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3174012

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result GKS Katowice W win · UKS Łódź 1–2 GKS Katowice W

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Ekstraliga Women
Fixture: UKS Łódź vs GKS Katowice W
Kickoff: 2026-05-23 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): UKS Łódź 1.45 — GKS Katowice W 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 34.9% · Over 2.5 65.1%); BTTS Yes (Yes 76.0% · No 24.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 76.0% · No 24.0%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.7%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Ekstraliga Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Czarni Sosnowiec W	22	18	2	2	56
2	Pogon Szczecin W	22	16	3	3	51
3	GKS Katowice W	22	15	3	4	48
4	Górnik Łęczna W	22	15	2	5	47
5	UKS Łódź	22	8	5	9	29
6	Rekord Bielsko-Biala W	22	8	4	10	28
7	Slask Wroclaw W	22	8	2	12	26
8	Lech Poznan W	22	7	5	10	26
9	UJ Krakow W	22	6	6	10	24
10	Akademia Piłkarska LG	22	7	2	13	23
11	Stomilanki Olsztyn W	22	3	2	17	11
12	Pogon Tczew W	22	1	4	17	7

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Czarni Sosnowiec W	22	68	18	+50	56
2	Pogon Szczecin W	22	60	18	+42	51
3	GKS Katowice W	22	51	26	+25	48
4	Górnik Łęczna W	22	49	20	+29	47
5	Slask Wroclaw W	22	39	33	+6	26
6	UKS Łódź	22	35	35	0	29
7	Rekord Bielsko-Biala W	22	29	34	-5	28
8	Lech Poznan W	22	29	46	-17	26
9	UJ Krakow W	22	26	37	-11	24
10	Akademia Piłkarska LG	22	24	45	-21	23
11	Stomilanki Olsztyn W	22	23	70	-47	11
12	Pogon Tczew W	22	15	66	-51	7