Granad. Tenerife W vs Barcelona W Statistics & Analysis

Granad. Tenerife W

May 10, 2026 - 17:00

1 1.45

3 1.25

xG Accuracy: 55%

Barcelona W

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Granad. Tenerife W Barcelona W ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 0-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Primera División Femenina
Fixture: Granad. Tenerife W vs Barcelona W
Kickoff: 2026-05-10 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Granad. Tenerife W 1.45 — Barcelona W 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS Yes
Model: 67.8% · Implied: 40.9% · Probability edge: +26.9 pts · Est. EV: +69.5%
BTTS (model): Yes 67.8% · No 32.2%
Correct score (top bin): 0-2 (9.8%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Best Bet + Reason

The engine’s headline primary is: BTTS Yes.

If 1X2 looks tight, the engine may still find clearer structure in totals or BTTS — that is intentional.

No pick is a guarantee; variance is especially large in scoreline markets.

FAQ

Who has the edge in the match-winner market?

Use the 1X2 model percentages in the summary and the 1X2 market card: the side with the highest model % is the model lean, but check EV — a lean can still be -EV after prices.

Safer market than correct score?

Markets with more liquidity and smoother prices (often 1X2 or O/U 2.5 from many books) are usually easier to reason about than long-tail correct-score prices; still read EV on each leg.

How should I read EV versus a probability gap?

Probability edge = model probability minus implied probability (reported here in percentage points). EV ≈ model probability × best tracked decimal odds − 1, shown as return per unit stake. They are related but not interchangeable labels.

What changes first if odds move?

Implied probabilities and EV move immediately with price; model probabilities in this snapshot do not update until the pipeline is re-run. Refresh after material line moves.

Risk Factors

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 17, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this

Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Back to Statistics

Primera División Femenina — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Barcelona W	28	27	0	1	81
2	Real Madrid W	28	21	3	4	66
3	Real Sociedad W	28	19	6	3	63
4	Atletico Madrid W	28	14	8	6	50
5	Granad. Tenerife W	28	13	11	4	50
6	Granada	28	13	6	9	45
7	Sevilla W	28	12	3	13	39
8	Athletic Club W	28	10	8	10	38
9	FC Levante Badalona	28	9	9	10	36
10	Madrid CFF W	28	10	4	14	34
11	Deportivo de La Coruña W	28	8	6	14	30
12	Espanyol W	28	7	8	13	29
13	Eibar W	28	7	3	18	24
14	Edf Logrono W	28	4	9	15	21
15	Alhama	28	3	4	21	13
16	Levante W	28	2	2	24	8

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Barcelona W	28	124	8	+116	81
2	Atletico Madrid W	28	61	35	+26	50
3	Real Madrid W	28	59	18	+41	66
4	Real Sociedad W	28	58	25	+33	63
5	Granad. Tenerife W	28	45	20	+25	50
6	Madrid CFF W	28	37	52	-15	34
7	Granada	28	33	36	-3	45
8	Sevilla W	28	33	46	-13	39
9	Deportivo de La Coruña W	28	32	50	-18	30
10	Athletic Club W	28	29	43	-14	38
11	Edf Logrono W	28	28	50	-22	21
12	FC Levante Badalona	28	27	42	-15	36
13	Espanyol W	28	26	42	-16	29
14	Alhama	28	20	72	-52	13
15	Eibar W	28	16	46	-30	24
16	Levante W	28	16	59	-43	8