Unia Skierniewice vs Resovia Rzeszów Statistics & Analysis

Unia Skierniewice

May 10, 2026 - 17:30

2 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 80%

Resovia Rzeszów

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Unia Skierniewice Unia Skierniewice ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1 2-1 ✖ Incorrect

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: II Liga - East
Fixture: Unia Skierniewice vs Resovia Rzeszów
Kickoff: 2026-05-09 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Unia Skierniewice 1.45 — Resovia Rzeszów 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS Yes
Model: 64.9% · Implied: 56.6% · Probability edge: +8.3 pts · Est. EV: +5.1%
BTTS (model): Yes 64.9% · No 35.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.0%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Best Bet + Reason

Primary pick from the decision engine: BTTS Yes.

If 1X2 looks tight, the engine may still find clearer structure in totals or BTTS — that is intentional.

Only one modest +EV edge is highlighted here; size cautiously and re-check if odds move.

FAQ

How should I read EV versus a probability gap?

Probability edge = model probability minus implied probability (reported here in percentage points). EV ≈ model probability × best tracked decimal odds − 1, shown as return per unit stake. They are related but not interchangeable labels.

Safer market than correct score?

Markets with more liquidity and smoother prices (often 1X2 or O/U 2.5 from many books) are usually easier to reason about than long-tail correct-score prices; still read EV on each leg.

What changes first if odds move?

Implied probabilities and EV move immediately with price; model probabilities in this snapshot do not update until the pipeline is re-run. Refresh after material line moves.

Who has the edge in the match-winner market?

Use the 1X2 model percentages in the summary and the 1X2 market card: the side with the highest model % is the model lean, but check EV — a lean can still be -EV after prices.

Risk Factors

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 17, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this

Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Back to Statistics

II Liga - East — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Unia Skierniewice	32	21	5	6	68
2	Warta Poznań	31	16	11	4	59
3	Olimpia Grudziądz	31	16	9	6	57
4	Podbeskidzie	32	16	6	10	54
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	31	13	13	5	52
6	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	31	12	13	6	49
7	Śląsk Wrocław II	31	14	7	10	49
8	Chojniczanka Chojnice	32	12	10	10	46
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	32	11	10	11	43
10	Hutnik Kraków	31	11	9	11	42
11	Świt Skolwin	31	11	8	12	41
12	Stal Stalowa Wola	32	8	16	8	40
13	Resovia Rzeszów	32	10	10	12	40
14	Sokół Kleczew	32	9	7	16	34
15	Kalisz	31	7	10	14	31
16	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	32	8	7	17	31
17	ŁKS Łódź II	32	5	10	17	25
18	Jastrzębie	32	0	7	25	6

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Unia Skierniewice	32	66	40	+26	68
2	Olimpia Grudziądz	31	63	39	+24	57
3	Podbeskidzie	32	61	41	+20	54
4	Śląsk Wrocław II	31	55	44	+11	49
5	Chojniczanka Chojnice	32	53	45	+8	46
6	Stal Stalowa Wola	32	52	43	+9	40
7	Warta Poznań	31	51	33	+18	59
8	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	31	47	35	+12	49
9	Świt Skolwin	31	47	54	-7	41
10	Resovia Rzeszów	32	45	44	+1	40
11	Hutnik Kraków	31	44	37	+7	42
12	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	32	44	46	-2	43
13	Podhale Nowy Targ	31	43	30	+13	52
14	Sokół Kleczew	32	43	56	-13	34
15	Kalisz	31	35	49	-14	31
16	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	32	34	60	-26	31
17	ŁKS Łódź II	32	31	58	-27	25
18	Jastrzębie	32	18	78	-60	6