Statistics / Football / Spain. Segunda División / Mirandes vs Eibar

Mirandes vs Eibar Statistics & Analysis

Mirandes Mirandes
May 10, 2026 - 16:30
0 1.30
1 1.24
xG Accuracy: 66%
Eibar Eibar
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Mirandes Eibar ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1 0-1 ✖ Incorrect

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Segunda División
  • Fixture: Mirandes vs Eibar
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.4% · Draw 30.0% · Away 33.6%
  • xG (showing): Mirandes 1.3 — Eibar 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.54)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +0.4%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 53.4% · Over 2.5 46.6%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.7%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Best Bet + Reason

No bankroll-sized bet is implied here.

Treat this page as a read-only diagnostic: totals/BTTS structure can be informative even when the honest answer is to wait.

Re-check after material price moves; edges appear and disappear with liquidity.

FAQ

Is the most likely correct score still relevant?

As context only: it is still a low absolute probability tail outcome (often in the single digits, sometimes low teens). It does not override the “no headline +EV” stance — treat score bets as fun-sized if you play them at all.

When would a headline +EV return?

When odds move enough that implied probabilities drop relative to the same model snapshot, or when more book prices arrive so EV can be computed reliably — then re-run the pipeline.

Why is there no “best bet” on this page?

The headline engine uses a minimum +EV threshold (e.g. 2%) for a default pick. A line can still show tiny +EV that fails that bar — we still call it no default bet so readers do not over-size thin edges.

Should I still read the 1X2 card?

Yes — it shows whether any winner price clears value. Here it often explains why there is no headline: probabilities can be clustered while prices already embed that uncertainty.

Risk Factors

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

  • Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
  • Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Segunda División Segunda División — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Racing Santander 39 23 6 10 75
2 Deportivo La Coruna 39 20 11 8 71
3 Almeria 39 21 8 10 71
4 Malaga 39 19 9 11 66
5 Las Palmas 39 18 12 9 66
6 Castellón 39 18 11 10 65
7 Eibar 39 18 10 11 64
8 Burgos 39 17 12 10 63
9 Cordoba 39 17 9 13 60
10 FC Andorra 39 16 10 13 58
11 AD Ceuta FC 39 15 10 14 55
12 Albacete 39 14 11 14 53
13 Sporting Gijon 39 15 7 17 52
14 Granada CF 39 12 12 15 48
15 Valladolid 39 12 10 17 46
16 Leganes 39 10 12 17 42
17 Real Sociedad II 38 11 9 18 42
18 Cadiz 39 10 9 20 39
19 Huesca 38 9 9 20 36
20 Mirandes 39 9 9 21 36
21 Zaragoza 39 8 11 20 35
22 Cultural Leonesa 39 8 9 22 33
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Racing Santander 39 81 58 +23 75
2 Almeria 39 78 58 +20 71
3 Malaga 39 68 50 +18 66
4 Castellón 39 66 49 +17 65
5 FC Andorra 39 61 49 +12 58
6 Deportivo La Coruna 39 60 41 +19 71
7 Cordoba 39 55 56 -1 60
8 Las Palmas 39 52 37 +15 66
9 Sporting Gijon 39 52 51 +1 52
10 Albacete 39 51 52 -1 53
11 Eibar 39 48 36 +12 64
12 Granada CF 39 48 50 -2 48
13 AD Ceuta FC 39 47 59 -12 55
14 Real Sociedad II 38 46 54 -8 42
15 Burgos 39 44 33 +11 63
16 Valladolid 39 43 50 -7 46
17 Leganes 39 42 48 -6 42
18 Mirandes 39 42 65 -23 36
19 Huesca 38 39 59 -20 36
20 Cadiz 39 36 56 -20 39
21 Cultural Leonesa 39 36 64 -28 33
22 Zaragoza 39 33 53 -20 35
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Castellón 39 41.1 29.0 +12.1 65
2 Valladolid 39 34.2 23.6 +10.6 46
3 Cordoba 39 39.1 32.6 +6.5 60
4 Eibar 39 36.5 31.0 +5.5 64
5 Racing Santander 39 36.6 32.0 +4.6 75
6 Burgos 39 32.1 27.9 +4.2 63
7 Malaga 39 35.7 32.1 +3.6 66
8 Granada CF 39 32.0 29.2 +2.8 48
9 Las Palmas 39 22.9 20.6 +2.3 66
10 Deportivo La Coruna 39 30.2 28.3 +1.9 71
11 Albacete 39 35.2 33.7 +1.5 53
12 Sporting Gijon 39 30.8 29.4 +1.4 52
13 Almeria 39 32.7 31.4 +1.3 71
14 Zaragoza 39 30.6 30.5 +0.1 35
15 Leganes 39 34.1 35.4 -1.3 42
16 FC Andorra 39 31.8 33.5 -1.7 58
17 Huesca 38 27.3 29.6 -2.3 36
18 Real Sociedad II 38 29.3 37.9 -8.6 42
19 AD Ceuta FC 39 34.1 43.7 -9.6 55
20 Mirandes 39 27.5 37.4 -9.9 36
21 Cadiz 39 26.9 39.4 -12.5 39
22 Cultural Leonesa 39 27.7 40.3 -12.6 33
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