Obolon'-Brovar vs Kudrivka Statistics & Analysis

Obolon'-Brovar

May 03, 2026 - 10:00

1 1.63

1 0.89

xG Accuracy: 82%

Kudrivka

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Obolon'-Brovar Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 09:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1692312

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Obolon'-Brovar 1–1 Kudrivka

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Premier League
Fixture: Obolon'-Brovar vs Kudrivka
Kickoff: 2026-05-02 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 53.3% · Draw 27.7% · Away 19.0%
xG (showing): Obolon'-Brovar 1.63 — Kudrivka 0.89 (total xG ≈ 2.52)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 46.1% · Implied: 42.7% · Probability edge: +3.4 pts · Est. EV: +4.2%
BTTS (model): Yes 48.9% · No 51.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (13.1%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	30	22	6	2	72
2	LNZ Cherkasy	30	18	6	6	60
3	Polessya	30	18	5	7	59
4	Dynamo Kyiv	30	17	6	7	57
5	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	30	13	12	5	51
6	Kolos Kovalivka	30	13	10	7	49
7	Kryvbas KR	30	13	9	8	48
8	Zorya Luhansk	30	12	10	8	46
9	Karpaty	30	10	11	9	41
10	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	30	8	8	14	32
11	Veres Rivne	30	7	10	13	31
12	Obolon'-Brovar	30	7	10	13	31
13	Kudrivka	30	7	7	16	28
14	Ruh Lviv	30	6	3	21	21
15	Oleksandria	30	3	8	19	17
16	SK Poltava	30	2	7	21	13

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	30	71	21	+50	72
2	Dynamo Kyiv	30	66	36	+30	57
3	Kryvbas KR	30	53	46	+7	48
4	Polessya	30	51	21	+30	59
5	Zorya Luhansk	30	42	36	+6	46
6	Karpaty	30	40	31	+9	41
7	LNZ Cherkasy	30	39	17	+22	60
8	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	30	36	19	+17	51
9	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	30	36	45	-9	32
10	Kudrivka	30	32	48	-16	28
11	Kolos Kovalivka	30	30	25	+5	49
12	Obolon'-Brovar	30	28	49	-21	31
13	Veres Rivne	30	26	40	-14	31
14	Oleksandria	30	24	58	-34	17
15	SK Poltava	30	23	74	-51	13
16	Ruh Lviv	30	20	51	-31	21

#	TEAM	MP	xG	xGC	+/-	PTS
1	Dynamo Kyiv	30	30.7	10.1	+20.6	57
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	30	29.8	9.8	+20.0	72
3	Polessya	30	36.9	18.0	+18.9	59
4	LNZ Cherkasy	30	28.4	12.4	+16.0	60
5	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	30	22.0	12.7	+9.3	51
6	Karpaty	30	24.4	20.0	+4.4	41
7	Kolos Kovalivka	30	22.6	22.2	+0.4	49
8	Zorya Luhansk	30	22.1	22.9	-0.8	46
9	Veres Rivne	30	12.6	16.5	-3.9	31
10	Obolon'-Brovar	30	17.2	23.2	-6.0	31
11	Kryvbas KR	30	21.4	27.8	-6.4	48
12	Ruh Lviv	30	16.6	23.8	-7.2	21
13	Kudrivka	30	17.4	29.0	-11.6	28
14	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	30	18.9	32.2	-13.3	32
15	Oleksandria	30	10.5	25.0	-14.5	17
16	SK Poltava	30	10.1	36.0	-25.9	13