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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Reading Reading ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1 3-0 ✖ Incorrect
How to use this
- Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
- Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
- Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
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League One — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 35 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff | 46 | 90 | 50 | +40 | 91 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 46 | 89 | 41 | +48 | 103 |
| 3 | Plymouth | 46 | 75 | 63 | +12 | 73 |
| 4 | Huddersfield | 46 | 74 | 64 | +10 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 46 | 71 | 58 | +13 | 77 |
| 6 | Bolton | 46 | 70 | 52 | +18 | 75 |
| 7 | Wycombe | 46 | 69 | 58 | +11 | 63 |
| 8 | Luton | 46 | 68 | 56 | +12 | 74 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 46 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 59 |
| 10 | Reading | 46 | 64 | 60 | +4 | 63 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 46 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 53 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 62 | 50 | +12 | 65 |
| 13 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
| 14 | Bradford | 46 | 58 | 51 | +7 | 77 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 46 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 60 |
| 16 | Exeter City | 46 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 49 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 51 | 72 | -21 | 53 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 46 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 54 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 46 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 60 |
| 20 | Stevenage | 46 | 49 | 46 | +3 | 75 |
| 21 | Wigan | 46 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 56 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 46 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 41 |
| 23 | Northampton | 46 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 46 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 42 |
| # | TEAM | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 46 | 21.2 | 12.8 | +8.4 | 67 |
| 2 | Bolton | 46 | 18.1 | 12.5 | +5.6 | 75 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 46 | 22.0 | 17.0 | +5.0 | 91 |
| 4 | Wigan | 46 | 15.6 | 11.5 | +4.1 | 56 |
| 5 | Peterborough | 46 | 22.5 | 18.5 | +4.0 | 53 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 46 | 17.0 | 14.0 | +3.0 | 63 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 16.8 | 14.1 | +2.7 | 74 |
| 8 | Reading | 46 | 16.6 | 14.8 | +1.8 | 63 |
| 9 | Stockport County | 46 | 15.4 | 15.2 | +0.2 | 77 |
| 10 | Port Vale | 46 | 12.9 | 12.8 | +0.1 | 42 |
| 11 | Plymouth | 46 | 19.2 | 19.2 | 0.0 | 73 |
| 12 | Burton Albion | 46 | 14.6 | 14.8 | -0.2 | 54 |
| 13 | Doncaster | 46 | 16.8 | 17.3 | -0.5 | 60 |
| 14 | Stevenage | 46 | 11.2 | 12.4 | -1.2 | 75 |
| 15 | Rotherham | 46 | 11.9 | 13.2 | -1.3 | 41 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 46 | 16.7 | 18.8 | -2.1 | 103 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 19.6 | 22.4 | -2.8 | 52 |
| 18 | Bradford | 46 | 13.4 | 16.2 | -2.8 | 77 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 46 | 12.3 | 15.2 | -2.9 | 59 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 11.0 | 14.4 | -3.4 | 53 |
| 21 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 12.7 | 16.6 | -3.9 | 65 |
| 22 | Exeter City | 46 | 10.7 | 15.1 | -4.4 | 49 |
| 23 | Northampton | 46 | 13.5 | 18.0 | -4.5 | 35 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 46 | 21.6 | 26.3 | -4.7 | 60 |