Statistics / Football / World. UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification / Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21

Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21 Statistics & Analysis

Sweden U21 Sweden U21
Oct 05, 2026 - 16:30
2 1.48
0 1.12
xG Accuracy: 64%
North Macedonia U21 North Macedonia U21
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Sweden U21 Sweden U21 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11671879

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sweden U21 win · Sweden U21 2–0 North Macedonia U21
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
  • Fixture: Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-05 16:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 43.9% · Draw 29.1% · Away 27.1%
  • xG (showing): Sweden U21 1.48 — North Macedonia U21 1.12 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Spain U21 10 9 0 1 27
2 Finland U21 10 7 2 1 23
3 Romania U21 10 5 1 4 16
4 Kosovo U21 10 4 3 3 15
5 Cyprus U21 10 2 0 8 6
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Spain U21 10 47 5 +42 27
2 Finland U21 10 34 7 +27 23
3 Kosovo U21 10 21 11 +10 15
4 Romania U21 10 12 13 -1 16
5 Cyprus U21 10 8 29 -21 6
6 San Marino U21 10 0 57 -57 0