San Marino U21 vs Kosovo U21 Statistics & Analysis

San Marino U21

Sep 24, 2026 - 18:30

0 1.09

3 1.51

xG Accuracy: 49%

Kosovo U21

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Kosovo U21 Kosovo U21 ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 18, 2026 · 01:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9340739

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Kosovo U21 win · San Marino U21 0–3 Kosovo U21

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Fixture: San Marino U21 vs Kosovo U21
Kickoff: 2026-09-24 18:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 25.8% · Draw 28.9% · Away 45.3%
xG (showing): San Marino U21 1.09 — Kosovo U21 1.51 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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