Ittihad Al-Shorta vs Sporty Statistics & Analysis

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Ittihad Al-Shorta

Oct 14, 2026 - 14:45

2 1.47

1 1.13

xG Accuracy: 83%

Sporty

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Ittihad Al-Shorta Ittihad Al-Shorta ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 08, 2026 · 02:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13896815

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Ittihad Al-Shorta win · Ittihad Al-Shorta 2–1 Sporty

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Division 1
Fixture: Ittihad Al-Shorta vs Sporty
Kickoff: 2026-10-14 14:45:00
1X2 (model): Home 43.3% · Draw 29.2% · Away 27.5%
xG (showing): Ittihad Al-Shorta 1.47 — Sporty 1.13 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Division 1 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Al Jazira	2	2	0	0	6
2	Ittihad Al-Shorta	2	2	0	0	6
3	Khaitan	1	1	0	0	3
4	Yarmouk	1	0	1	0	1
5	Burgan	2	0	1	1	1
6	Sporty	2	0	0	2	0
7	Shamiya	2	0	0	2	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Al Jazira	2	7	1	+6	6
2	Khaitan	1	6	1	+5	3
3	Ittihad Al-Shorta	2	3	1	+2	6
4	Sporty	2	2	8	-6	0
5	Shamiya	2	1	7	-6	0
6	Yarmouk	1	0	0	0	1
7	Burgan	2	0	1	-1	1