Mouna vs Yamoussoukro Statistics & Analysis

Oct 06, 2026 - 15:30
0 1.37
2 1.23
xG Accuracy: 56%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Mouna Yamoussoukro ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 00:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12671810

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Yamoussoukro win · Mouna 0–2 Yamoussoukro
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Ligue 1 Costa d'Avorio
  • Fixture: Mouna vs Yamoussoukro
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-05 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Mouna 1.37 — Yamoussoukro 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Ligue 1 Costa d'Avorio Ligue 1 Costa d'Avorio — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 San-Pédro 3 2 0 1 6
2 Yamoussoukro 2 2 0 0 6
3 SOA 2 1 1 0 4
4 Zoman 2 1 1 0 4
5 ES Agboville 2 1 1 0 4
6 ISCA 2 1 1 0 4
7 SOL 1 1 0 0 3
8 Bouaké FC 3 1 0 2 3
9 Stade d'Abidjan 2 0 2 0 2
10 AFAD Djékanou 3 0 2 1 2
11 ASEC Mimosas 3 0 2 1 2
12 Stella Club d'Adjamé 2 0 1 1 1
13 Korhogo 2 0 1 1 1
14 Mouna 2 0 1 1 1
15 US Tchologo 2 0 1 1 1
16 Adiake 1 0 0 1 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 San-Pédro 3 5 1 +4 6
2 Yamoussoukro 2 3 0 +3 6
3 SOA 2 3 2 +1 4
4 AFAD Djékanou 3 3 4 -1 2
5 Zoman 2 2 1 +1 4
6 ES Agboville 2 2 1 +1 4
7 Bouaké FC 3 2 5 -3 3
8 ISCA 2 1 0 +1 4
9 SOL 1 1 0 +1 3
10 Stade d'Abidjan 2 1 1 0 2
11 ASEC Mimosas 3 1 2 -1 2
12 Stella Club d'Adjamé 2 1 2 -1 1
13 Korhogo 2 1 2 -1 1
14 Adiake 1 0 1 -1 0
15 Mouna 2 0 2 -2 1
16 US Tchologo 2 0 2 -2 1