Statistiche / Calcio / Jamaica. Premier League / Arnett Gardens vs Portmore United

Arnett Gardens vs Portmore United Statistics & Analysis

Oct 06, 2026 - 01:00
1 1.35
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 85%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Arnett Gardens Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 02, 2026 · 01:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12432283

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Arnett Gardens 1–1 Portmore United
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Arnett Gardens vs Portmore United
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-06 01:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
  • xG (showing): Arnett Gardens 1.35 — Portmore United 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 46.3% · Probability edge: +5.5 pts · Est. EV: +7.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League Premier League — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Waterhouse 4 3 1 0 10
2 Montego Bay United 4 3 1 0 10
3 Racing United 4 3 0 1 9
4 Tivoli Gardens 4 2 2 0 8
5 Tru-Juice 4 2 1 1 7
6 Cavalier 3 2 1 0 7
7 Portmore United 3 1 2 0 5
8 Arnett Gardens 4 1 1 2 4
9 Mount Pleasant Academy 4 1 1 2 4
10 Chapelton 4 1 1 2 4
11 Molynes United 4 1 0 3 3
12 Treasure Beach 4 0 2 2 2
13 Humble Lions 4 0 1 3 1
14 Dunbeholden 4 0 0 4 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Waterhouse 4 14 1 +13 10
2 Racing United 4 10 3 +7 9
3 Arnett Gardens 4 8 7 +1 4
4 Tivoli Gardens 4 7 2 +5 8
5 Portmore United 3 6 3 +3 5
6 Cavalier 3 6 4 +2 7
7 Tru-Juice 4 5 2 +3 7
8 Montego Bay United 4 4 0 +4 10
9 Treasure Beach 4 4 7 -3 2
10 Molynes United 4 4 11 -7 3
11 Mount Pleasant Academy 4 3 6 -3 4
12 Chapelton 4 3 10 -7 4
13 Humble Lions 4 2 13 -11 1
14 Dunbeholden 4 1 8 -7 0