Matebele vs Tonota Statistics & Analysis

Matebele

Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00

1 1.27

3 1.33

xG Accuracy: 59%

⚽

Tonota

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Tonota Tonota ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 02, 2026 · 02:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12438383

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Tonota win · Matebele 1–3 Tonota

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Premier League Botswana
Fixture: Matebele vs Tonota
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
xG (showing): Matebele 1.27 — Tonota 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Premier League Botswana — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Sua Flamingoes	4	2	2	0	8
2	Police XI	3	2	1	0	7
3	Extension Gunners	3	2	0	1	6
4	Enesia	3	1	2	0	5
5	Tonota	3	1	2	0	5
6	Township Rollers	2	1	1	0	4
7	Centre Chiefs	3	1	1	1	4
8	BDF XI	3	1	1	1	4
9	Gaborone United	1	1	0	0	3
10	TAFIC	2	1	0	1	3
11	Nico United	3	1	0	2	3
12	Orapa United	3	0	2	1	2
13	Morupule Wanderers	3	0	2	1	2
14	Galaxy	0	0	0	0	0
15	Prisons XI	3	0	0	3	0
16	Matebele	3	0	0	3	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Township Rollers	2	4	1	+3	4
2	Police XI	3	3	0	+3	7
3	Sua Flamingoes	4	3	1	+2	8
4	Enesia	3	3	2	+1	5
5	Tonota	3	3	2	+1	5
6	Centre Chiefs	3	3	2	+1	4
7	BDF XI	3	3	4	-1	4
8	Nico United	3	3	4	-1	3
9	Gaborone United	1	2	1	+1	3
10	Extension Gunners	3	2	3	-1	6
11	TAFIC	2	1	1	0	3
12	Orapa United	3	1	2	-1	2
13	Morupule Wanderers	3	1	3	-2	2
14	Prisons XI	3	1	4	-3	0
15	Galaxy	0	0	0	0	0
16	Matebele	3	0	3	-3	0