Statistiche / Calcio / Brasile. Paraense Serie A3 / Gavião vs Belenense

Gavião vs Belenense Statistics & Analysis

Gavião Gavião
Oct 02, 2026 - 18:00
1 1.24
0 1.36
xG Accuracy: 64%
Belenense Belenense
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Belenense Gavião ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 01, 2026 · 01:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12186125

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Gavião win · Gavião 1–0 Belenense
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Paraense Serie A3
  • Fixture: Gavião vs Belenense
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
  • xG (showing): Gavião 1.24 — Belenense 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

Ottieni Previsioni Premium per Gavião & Belenense!

Sblocca analisi approfondite, consigli esclusivi sulle scommesse e previsioni delle partite con il nostro servizio di abbonamento premium.

Iscriviti Ora
Torna alle Statistiche
Paraense Serie A3 Paraense Serie A3 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Gavião 4 3 1 0 10
2 Sport Belém 4 3 0 1 9
3 Pedreira 4 3 0 1 9
4 Belenense 4 2 1 1 7
5 Vénus 4 2 1 1 7
6 Pinheirense 4 1 3 0 6
7 Tesla 4 1 2 1 5
8 Parauapebas 4 1 2 1 5
9 Paraense SC 4 1 1 2 4
10 Altamira 4 0 1 3 1
11 ESMAC 4 0 1 3 1
12 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Belenense 4 14 9 +5 7
2 Sport Belém 4 11 4 +7 9
3 Pedreira 4 10 3 +7 9
4 Vénus 4 8 5 +3 7
5 Gavião 4 6 2 +4 10
6 Tesla 4 6 5 +1 5
7 Pinheirense 4 4 3 +1 6
8 Parauapebas 4 4 4 0 5
9 ESMAC 4 4 14 -10 1
10 Paraense SC 4 2 4 -2 4
11 CA Vila Rica 4 2 14 -12 1
12 Altamira 4 1 5 -4 1
Paraense Serie A3 Brasile. Paraense Serie A3 Pronostici