Statistiche / Calcio / Mondo. Amichevoli Club / Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Statistics & Analysis

Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
Oct 02, 2026 - 10:00
7 1.28
2 1.32
xG Accuracy: 17%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Radomiak Radom ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 7-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11675323

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Radomiak Radom win · Radomiak Radom 7–2 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Amichevoli Club
  • Fixture: Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 27.6% · Away 37.2%
  • xG (showing): Radomiak Radom 1.28 — Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 39.2% · Probability edge: +12.6 pts · Est. EV: +28.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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