Ethnikos Piraeus vs Amfiali Statistics & Analysis

Ethnikos Piraeus

Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00

1 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 85%

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Amfiali

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Ethnikos Piraeus Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11674804

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Ethnikos Piraeus 1–1 Amfiali

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Gamma Ethniki - Group 8
Fixture: Ethnikos Piraeus vs Amfiali
Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Ethnikos Piraeus 1.32 — Amfiali 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Egaleo	2	2	0	0	6
2	Apollon Smirnis	2	2	0	0	6
3	Vyrona	2	2	0	0	6
4	Amfiali	2	1	1	0	4
5	Ethnikos Piraeus	2	1	1	0	4
6	Afantou	2	1	1	0	4
7	Ionikos	2	0	1	1	1
8	PAO Rouf	2	0	1	1	1
9	Diagoras	2	0	1	1	1
10	Ialysos	2	0	0	2	0
11	Proodeftiki	2	0	0	2	0
12	Apollon Kalyt.	2	0	0	2	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Egaleo	2	5	1	+4	6
2	Apollon Smirnis	2	3	0	+3	6
3	Vyrona	2	3	0	+3	6
4	Amfiali	2	2	1	+1	4
5	Ethnikos Piraeus	2	2	1	+1	4
6	Afantou	2	1	0	+1	4
7	Apollon Kalyt.	2	1	5	-4	0
8	Ionikos	2	0	1	-1	1
9	PAO Rouf	2	0	1	-1	1
10	Diagoras	2	0	2	-2	1
11	Ialysos	2	0	2	-2	0
12	Proodeftiki	2	0	3	-3	0