Shabab Al Sahel vs Safa Statistics & Analysis

Shabab Al Sahel

Oct 13, 2026 - 12:00

0 1.24

3 1.36

xG Accuracy: 45%

Safa

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Safa Safa ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 07, 2026 · 01:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13656068

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Safa win · Shabab Al Sahel 0–3 Safa

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Premier League
Fixture: Shabab Al Sahel vs Safa
Kickoff: 2026-10-13 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
xG (showing): Shabab Al Sahel 1.24 — Safa 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 54.4% · Implied: 48.8% · Probability edge: +5.6 pts · Est. EV: +8.8%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Premier League — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Jwaaya FC	2	2	0	0	6
2	Safa	2	2	0	0	6
3	Al Nejmeh	2	1	1	0	4
4	Tripoli SC	2	1	1	0	4
5	Tadamon Sour	2	1	1	0	4
6	Al Ahed	2	1	1	0	4
7	Al Ansar	1	1	0	0	3
8	Reyady Abaseya	1	0	0	1	0
9	Al Hikma	2	0	0	2	0
10	Al Mabarrah	2	0	0	2	0
11	Shabab Al Sahel	2	0	0	2	0
12	Al Akhaa Al Ahli	2	0	0	2	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Jwaaya FC	2	6	0	+6	6
2	Safa	2	5	1	+4	6
3	Al Nejmeh	2	5	3	+2	4
4	Tadamon Sour	2	4	3	+1	4
5	Tripoli SC	2	3	1	+2	4
6	Al Ahed	2	2	1	+1	4
7	Al Ansar	1	2	1	+1	3
8	Reyady Abaseya	1	1	2	-1	0
9	Al Hikma	2	1	5	-4	0
10	Al Mabarrah	2	0	4	-4	0
11	Shabab Al Sahel	2	0	4	-4	0
12	Al Akhaa Al Ahli	2	0	4	-4	0