Yaracuyanos FC vs Puerto Cabello II Statistics & Analysis

Yaracuyanos FC

Sep 30, 2026 - 20:00

3 1.51

0 1.09

xG Accuracy: 49%

Puerto Cabello II

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Yaracuyanos FC Yaracuyanos FC ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 00:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10961889

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Yaracuyanos FC win · Yaracuyanos FC 3–0 Puerto Cabello II

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Segunda División Venezuela
Fixture: Yaracuyanos FC vs Puerto Cabello II
Kickoff: 2026-09-30 20:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 45.3% · Draw 28.9% · Away 25.8%
xG (showing): Yaracuyanos FC 1.51 — Puerto Cabello II 1.09 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 48.2% · Probability edge: +3.6 pts · Est. EV: +3.6%
BTTS (model): Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Segunda División Venezuela — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Deportivo Lara	29	19	6	4	63
2	Fundación Lara Deportiva	30	15	8	7	53
3	Yaracuyanos FC	30	14	7	9	49
4	Ureña SC	29	12	10	7	46
5	Zamora FC B	29	11	7	11	40
6	Atletico el Vigia FC	30	11	7	12	40
7	Puerto Cabello II	30	9	7	14	34
8	Club Atletico Barinas	30	9	5	16	32
9	Real Frontera	29	3	3	23	12

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Fundación Lara Deportiva	30	54	35	+19	53
2	Deportivo Lara	29	51	22	+29	63
3	Club Atletico Barinas	30	50	61	-11	32
4	Zamora FC B	29	46	44	+2	40
5	Yaracuyanos FC	30	44	30	+14	49
6	Ureña SC	29	41	34	+7	46
7	Atletico el Vigia FC	30	40	50	-10	40
8	Puerto Cabello II	30	38	44	-6	34
9	Real Frontera	29	22	66	-44	12