Chippenham Town vs Yate Town Statistics & Analysis

Chippenham Town

Sep 22, 2026 - 18:45

2 1.33

1 1.27

xG Accuracy: 85%

Yate Town

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
1X2 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10097179

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Chippenham Town win · Chippenham Town 2–1 Yate Town

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: FA Cup
Fixture: Chippenham Town vs Yate Town
Kickoff: 2026-09-22 18:45:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): Chippenham Town 1.33 — Yate Town 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 42.2% · Probability edge: +9.6 pts · Est. EV: +16.6%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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