Statistiche / Calcio / Bolivia. Nacional B Bolivia / Chaco vs Hiska Nacional

Chaco vs Hiska Nacional Statistics & Analysis

Chaco Chaco
Sep 20, 2026 - 18:00
5 1.24
1 1.36
xG Accuracy: 32%
Hiska Nacional Hiska Nacional
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Hiska Nacional Chaco ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 5-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 19, 2026 · 02:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9588142

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Chaco win · Chaco 5–1 Hiska Nacional
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Nacional B Bolivia
  • Fixture: Chaco vs Hiska Nacional
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
  • xG (showing): Chaco 1.24 — Hiska Nacional 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Nacional B Bolivia Nacional B Bolivia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 EM Huanuni 6 4 2 0 14
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 15
1 Wilstermann Cooperativa 6 3 1 2 10
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 15
1 Virginia Cavaliers 6 4 2 0 14
1 CD IN San Juan FC 5 3 1 1 10
1 Primero Mayo 6 4 0 2 12
2 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 9
2 Deportivo FATIC 6 3 1 2 10
2 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 7
2 Mineros Potosí 6 3 1 2 10
2 Municipal Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 11
2 Deportivo Tigres 5 2 2 1 8
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 11
3 Club Universitario Bolivia 6 2 2 2 8
4 Ingenieros 5 1 1 3 4
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 0
4 Universitario Beni 5 0 0 5 0
4 Unión Tarija 5 2 0 3 6
4 CD Guadalajara Bolivia 5 0 2 3 2
4 Universitario Tarija 6 1 1 4 4
4 Libertad 6 0 1 5 1
5 Chaco 5 2 0 3 6
6 San Martín de Yacuiba 5 2 0 3 6
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Mineros Potosí 6 20 8 +12 10
2 Municipal Tiquipaya 6 15 4 +11 11
3 Atletico Sucre 6 15 8 +7 9
4 Wilstermann Cooperativa 6 15 12 +3 10
5 26 de Febrero 6 14 6 +8 15
6 EM Huanuni 6 13 4 +9 14
7 Deportivo FATIC 6 13 7 +6 10
8 Chaco 5 13 14 -1 6
9 Independiente CBBA 6 12 6 +6 15
10 CD IN San Juan FC 5 11 4 +7 10
11 Primero Mayo 6 11 10 +1 12
12 Virginia Cavaliers 6 10 3 +7 14
13 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 10 7 +3 11
14 Hiska Nacional 6 10 15 -5 7
15 Deportivo Tigres 5 9 4 +5 8
16 Ingenieros 5 9 11 -2 4
17 Club Universitario Bolivia 6 8 8 0 8
18 Unión Tarija 5 7 6 +1 6
19 Universitario Tarija 6 5 17 -12 4
20 Atletico Juniors 6 5 26 -21 0
21 CD Guadalajara Bolivia 5 4 9 -5 2
22 San Martín de Yacuiba 5 2 7 -5 6
23 Universitario Beni 5 2 15 -13 0
24 Libertad 6 0 22 -22 1