Statistiche / Calcio / Mondo. Amichevoli / Fiji vs Nuova Caledonia

Fiji vs Nuova Caledonia Statistics & Analysis

Fiji Fiji
Sep 30, 2026 - 07:00
2 1.26
1 1.34
xG Accuracy: 74%
Nuova Caledonia Nuova Caledonia
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Nuova Caledonia Fiji ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 24, 2026 · 00:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10583854

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Fiji win · Fiji 2–1 Nuova Caledonia
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Amichevoli
  • Fixture: Fiji vs Nuova Caledonia
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-30 07:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Fiji 1.26 — Nuova Caledonia 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 37.1% · Probability edge: +14.7 pts · Est. EV: +39.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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