Statistiche / Calcio / Mondo. COSAFA U20 Championship / Malawi U20 vs Comore U20

Malawi U20 vs Comore U20 Statistics & Analysis

Malawi U20 Malawi U20
Sep 23, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.33
1 1.27
xG Accuracy: 77%
Comore U20 Comore U20
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Malawi U20 Malawi U20 ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 18, 2026 · 01:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9333000

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Malawi U20 win · Malawi U20 2–1 Comore U20
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: COSAFA U20 Championship
  • Fixture: Malawi U20 vs Comore U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-23 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Malawi U20 1.33 — Comore U20 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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COSAFA U20 Championship COSAFA U20 Championship — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Namibia U20 3 3 0 0 9
2 Mozambico U20 3 2 0 1 6
3 Seychelles U20 3 1 0 2 3
4 Mauritius U20 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Mozambico U20 3 9 2 +7 6
2 Namibia U20 3 5 0 +5 9
3 Seychelles U20 3 5 10 -5 3
4 Mauritius U20 3 3 10 -7 0
COSAFA U20 Championship Mondo. COSAFA U20 Championship Pronostici