Statistiche / Calcio / Mondo. Amichevoli Club / VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Statistics & Analysis

VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
Oct 01, 2026 - 15:30
5 1.40
0 1.20
xG Accuracy: 27%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 5-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 25, 2026 · 01:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10755944

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result VfB Stuttgart win · VfB Stuttgart 5–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Amichevoli Club
  • Fixture: VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-01 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 27.5% · Away 31.6%
  • xG (showing): VfB Stuttgart 1.4 — SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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