Faetano vs Fiorentino Statistics & Analysis

Faetano

Oct 10, 2026 - 13:00

0 1.20

6 1.40

xG Accuracy: 20%

Fiorentino

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Fiorentino Fiorentino ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-6 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13216895

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Fiorentino win · Faetano 0–6 Fiorentino

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Campionato Sammarinese
Fixture: Faetano vs Fiorentino
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
xG (showing): Faetano 1.2 — Fiorentino 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 54.3% · Implied: 45.3% · Probability edge: +9.0 pts · Est. EV: +11.3%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Campionato Sammarinese — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Folgore	4	4	0	0	12
2	Tre Penne	4	4	0	0	12
3	Virtus	4	3	1	0	10
4	Tre Fiori	4	3	0	1	9
5	Cosmos	4	2	1	1	7
6	Domagnano	4	2	0	2	6
7	La Fiorita	4	1	3	0	6
8	Libertas	4	1	2	1	5
9	Fiorentino	4	1	1	2	4
10	Juvenes/Dogana	4	1	0	3	3
11	Cailungo	4	1	0	3	3
12	Murata	4	1	0	3	3
13	San Giovanni	4	1	0	3	3
14	Pennarossa	4	1	0	3	3
15	San Marino Academy	4	0	2	2	2
16	Faetano	4	0	2	2	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Tre Fiori	4	14	5	+9	9
2	Folgore	4	10	1	+9	12
3	Tre Penne	4	9	2	+7	12
4	Cosmos	4	9	4	+5	7
5	Domagnano	4	7	6	+1	6
6	Pennarossa	4	7	16	-9	3
7	Virtus	4	6	2	+4	10
8	Juvenes/Dogana	4	6	6	0	3
9	La Fiorita	4	4	3	+1	6
10	Libertas	4	4	5	-1	5
11	Fiorentino	4	4	5	-1	4
12	Cailungo	4	4	5	-1	3
13	Murata	4	4	10	-6	3
14	San Giovanni	4	4	10	-6	3
15	San Marino Academy	4	1	5	-4	2
16	Faetano	4	1	9	-8	2