Napier City Rovers vs Cashmere Technical Statistics & Analysis

Napier City Rovers

Oct 11, 2026 - 00:00

2 1.37

1 1.23

xG Accuracy: 79%

Cashmere Technical

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Napier City Rovers Napier City Rovers ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 00:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13183830

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Napier City Rovers win · Napier City Rovers 2–1 Cashmere Technical

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: National League - Nuova Zelanda
Fixture: Napier City Rovers vs Cashmere Technical
Kickoff: 2026-10-11 00:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
xG (showing): Napier City Rovers 1.37 — Cashmere Technical 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

National League - Nuova Zelanda — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Miramar	3	2	1	0	7
2	Cashmere Technical	2	2	0	0	6
3	Auckland United	2	1	1	0	4
4	Auckland City	2	1	1	0	4
5	Wellington Olympic	3	1	1	1	4
6	Ferrymead Bays	3	1	1	1	4
7	Birkenhead United	2	1	0	1	3
8	Eastern Suburbs	2	0	1	1	1
9	Napier City Rovers	2	0	1	1	1
10	Wellington Phoenix II	3	0	1	2	1
11	Auckland FC 2	2	0	0	2	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Cashmere Technical	2	14	0	+14	6
2	Auckland United	2	8	2	+6	4
3	Miramar	3	7	3	+4	7
4	Auckland City	2	6	4	+2	4
5	Wellington Olympic	3	6	6	0	4
6	Ferrymead Bays	3	3	5	-2	4
7	Auckland FC 2	2	3	5	-2	0
8	Eastern Suburbs	2	2	4	-2	1
9	Napier City Rovers	2	2	8	-6	1
10	Birkenhead United	2	1	4	-3	3
11	Wellington Phoenix II	3	1	12	-11	1