OFK Levski vs Bdin Statistics & Analysis

Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.15
1 1.45
xG Accuracy: 70%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Bdin OFK Levski ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 2-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8694140

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result OFK Levski win · OFK Levski 2–1 Bdin
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Terza Lega - Nordovest
  • Fixture: OFK Levski vs Bdin
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.4%
  • xG (showing): OFK Levski 1.15 — Bdin 1.45 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Terza Lega - Nordovest Terza Lega - Nordovest — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 4 2 2 0 8
2 Sevlievo 4 2 2 0 8
3 Akademik Svishtov 4 2 2 0 8
4 Yantra Polski Trambesh 4 2 1 1 7
5 Partizan 3 2 1 0 7
6 Bdin 4 2 0 2 6
7 Chavdar Troyan 3 1 2 0 5
8 Kom Berkovitsa 4 1 2 1 5
9 Etar VT II 4 1 1 2 4
10 Pavlikeni 4 1 0 3 3
11 Spartak Pleven II 4 0 2 2 2
12 OFK Levski 3 0 1 2 1
13 Juventus Malchika 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Yantra Polski Trambesh 4 12 5 +7 7
2 Bdin 4 8 8 0 6
3 Lokomotiv Mezdra 4 7 2 +5 8
4 Sevlievo 4 7 4 +3 8
5 Etar VT II 4 7 6 +1 4
6 Kom Berkovitsa 4 6 9 -3 5
7 Spartak Pleven II 4 6 9 -3 2
8 Akademik Svishtov 4 5 2 +3 8
9 Partizan 3 4 0 +4 7
10 Pavlikeni 4 3 5 -2 3
11 Chavdar Troyan 3 2 1 +1 5
12 OFK Levski 3 0 3 -3 1
13 Juventus Malchika 3 0 13 -13 0