Shanghai Port II vs Shenzhen 2028 Statistics & Analysis

Shanghai Port II

Oct 11, 2026 - 07:30

2 1.23

1 1.37

xG Accuracy: 73%

Shenzhen 2028

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Shenzhen 2028 Shanghai Port II ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 00:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13186454

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Shanghai Port II win · Shanghai Port II 2–1 Shenzhen 2028

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: League Two Cina
Fixture: Shanghai Port II vs Shenzhen 2028
Kickoff: 2026-10-11 07:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 31.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.5%
xG (showing): Shanghai Port II 1.23 — Shenzhen 2028 1.37 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 44.2% · Probability edge: +4.0 pts · Est. EV: +4.6%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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