Kom Berkovitsa vs Spartak Pleven II Statistics & Analysis

Kom Berkovitsa

Sep 12, 2026 - 14:00

2 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 77%

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Spartak Pleven II

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Kom Berkovitsa Kom Berkovitsa ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7454357

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Kom Berkovitsa win · Kom Berkovitsa 2–1 Spartak Pleven II

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Terza Lega - Nordovest
Fixture: Kom Berkovitsa vs Spartak Pleven II
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Kom Berkovitsa 1.32 — Spartak Pleven II 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Terza Lega - Nordovest — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Lokomotiv Mezdra	5	3	2	0	11
2	Akademik Svishtov	5	3	2	0	11
3	Yantra Polski Trambesh	5	2	2	1	8
4	Partizan	4	2	2	0	8
5	Sevlievo	5	2	2	1	8
6	Chavdar Troyan	4	2	2	0	8
7	Kom Berkovitsa	5	2	2	1	8
8	Bdin	5	2	0	3	6
9	Etar VT II	4	1	1	2	4
10	OFK Levski	4	1	1	2	4
11	Pavlikeni	5	1	0	4	3
12	Spartak Pleven II	5	0	2	3	2
13	Juventus Malchika	4	0	0	4	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Yantra Polski Trambesh	5	14	7	+7	8
2	Lokomotiv Mezdra	5	10	2	+8	11
3	Kom Berkovitsa	5	10	10	0	8
4	Akademik Svishtov	5	9	2	+7	11
5	Bdin	5	9	10	-1	6
6	Sevlievo	5	7	5	+2	8
7	Etar VT II	4	7	6	+1	4
8	Partizan	4	6	2	+4	8
9	Spartak Pleven II	5	6	13	-7	2
10	Pavlikeni	5	4	9	-5	3
11	Chavdar Troyan	4	3	1	+2	8
12	OFK Levski	4	2	4	-2	4
13	Juventus Malchika	4	0	16	-16	0