Bantu vs LDF Statistics & Analysis

Sep 06, 2026 - 13:30
4 1.31
1 1.29
xG Accuracy: 44%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Bantu Bantu ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 03, 2026 · 06:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6739706

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bantu win · Bantu 4–1 LDF
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Premier League Lesotho
  • Fixture: Bantu vs LDF
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-06 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Bantu 1.31 — LDF 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 24, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Premier League Lesotho Premier League Lesotho — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Lioli 4 3 1 0 10
2 Bantu 4 3 1 0 10
3 Matlama 3 3 0 0 9
4 Linare 4 3 0 1 9
5 Majantja 4 2 1 1 7
6 LCS 4 2 0 2 6
7 Manonyane 3 1 2 0 5
8 Limkokwing University 4 1 2 1 5
9 LDF 4 1 2 1 5
10 Lijabatho 2 1 1 0 4
11 Lifofane 4 1 1 2 4
12 SC Villa 4 1 0 3 3
13 Mzamane 4 1 0 3 3
14 Members 4 0 2 2 2
15 LMPS 4 0 1 3 1
16 Machokha 4 0 0 4 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Lioli 4 12 4 +8 10
2 Linare 4 11 7 +4 9
3 Bantu 4 10 5 +5 10
4 Matlama 3 9 2 +7 9
5 Manonyane 3 9 5 +4 5
6 Lijabatho 2 8 0 +8 4
7 Majantja 4 6 4 +2 7
8 LCS 4 6 5 +1 6
9 Limkokwing University 4 5 6 -1 5
10 LDF 4 4 6 -2 5
11 Lifofane 4 4 7 -3 4
12 LMPS 4 3 9 -6 1
13 SC Villa 4 2 4 -2 3
14 Machokha 4 2 11 -9 0
15 Members 4 1 6 -5 2
16 Mzamane 4 1 12 -11 3