Statistiche / Calcio / Kosovo. Superliga Kosovo / Llapi vs Dukagjini

Llapi vs Dukagjini Statistics & Analysis

Llapi Llapi
Sep 05, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.27
2 1.33
xG Accuracy: 77%
Dukagjini Dukagjini
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Dukagjini Dukagjini ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 03, 2026 · 00:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6709964

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Dukagjini win · Llapi 1–2 Dukagjini
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Superliga Kosovo
  • Fixture: Llapi vs Dukagjini
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-05 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): Llapi 1.27 — Dukagjini 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 21, 2026 (UTC)

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Superliga Kosovo Superliga Kosovo — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Prishtina 6 6 0 0 18
2 Malisheva 7 5 1 1 16
3 Dukagjini 6 3 3 0 12
4 Gjilani 7 3 2 2 11
5 Ballkani 7 3 1 3 10
6 Drita 5 2 2 1 8
7 Drenica Skënderaj 6 1 3 2 6
8 Feronikeli 7 2 0 5 6
9 Llapi 6 1 0 5 3
10 Vushtrria 7 0 0 7 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Malisheva 7 19 6 +13 16
2 Prishtina 6 18 4 +14 18
3 Gjilani 7 10 8 +2 11
4 Ballkani 7 9 8 +1 10
5 Llapi 6 8 17 -9 3
6 Dukagjini 6 7 3 +4 12
7 Drita 5 6 4 +2 8
8 Drenica Skënderaj 6 5 7 -2 6
9 Feronikeli 7 5 13 -8 6
10 Vushtrria 7 3 20 -17 0