Statistiche / Calcio / Australia. NPL Nuovo Galles del Sud 2 / Prospect United vs Parramatta Eagles

Prospect United vs Parramatta Eagles Statistics & Analysis

⚽
Prospect United
Sep 11, 2026 - 09:00
2 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 77%
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Parramatta Eagles
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Prospect United Prospect United ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 05, 2026 · 01:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7019615

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Prospect United win · Prospect United 2–1 Parramatta Eagles
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: NPL Nuovo Galles del Sud 2
  • Fixture: Prospect United vs Parramatta Eagles
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-11 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Prospect United 1.32 — Parramatta Eagles 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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NPL Nuovo Galles del Sud 2 NPL Nuovo Galles del Sud 2 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 21 6 3 69
2 Northern Tigers 30 17 8 5 59
3 Bankstown City Lions 30 17 5 8 56
4 Canterbury Bankstown 30 15 6 9 51
5 Hills Brumbies 30 14 7 9 49
6 Macarthur Rams 30 14 6 10 48
7 Hakoah Sydney City 30 11 10 9 43
8 Rydalmere Lions 30 11 8 11 41
9 Bulls Academy 30 11 5 14 38
10 Inter Lions 30 10 5 15 35
11 Hurstville FC 30 9 6 15 33
12 Central Coast II 30 8 7 15 31
13 Dulwich Hill 30 7 9 14 30
14 Newcastle Jets II 30 6 11 13 29
15 Prospect United 30 4 14 12 26
16 Mt Druitt Town 30 6 5 19 23
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 79 36 +43 69
2 Canterbury Bankstown 30 71 53 +18 51
3 Bankstown City Lions 30 65 45 +20 56
4 Hills Brumbies 30 62 45 +17 49
5 Hakoah Sydney City 30 62 50 +12 43
6 Northern Tigers 30 55 30 +25 59
7 Newcastle Jets II 30 55 73 -18 29
8 Bulls Academy 30 52 50 +2 38
9 Central Coast II 30 46 67 -21 31
10 Rydalmere Lions 30 43 46 -3 41
11 Hurstville FC 30 42 55 -13 33
12 Macarthur Rams 30 40 36 +4 48
13 Dulwich Hill 30 40 58 -18 30
14 Inter Lions 30 39 54 -15 35
15 Mt Druitt Town 30 35 69 -34 23
16 Prospect United 30 33 52 -19 26