Parramatta Eagles vs Prospect United Statistics & Analysis

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Parramatta Eagles

Sep 04, 2026 - 09:30

4 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 44%

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Prospect United

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Parramatta Eagles Parramatta Eagles ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 03, 2026 · 01:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6716858

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Parramatta Eagles win · Parramatta Eagles 4–1 Prospect United

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: NPL Nuovo Galles del Sud 2
Fixture: Parramatta Eagles vs Prospect United
Kickoff: 2026-09-04 09:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Parramatta Eagles 1.32 — Prospect United 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

NPL Nuovo Galles del Sud 2 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Blacktown Spartans	30	21	6	3	69
2	Northern Tigers	30	17	8	5	59
3	Bankstown City Lions	30	17	5	8	56
4	Canterbury Bankstown	30	15	6	9	51
5	Hills Brumbies	30	14	7	9	49
6	Macarthur Rams	30	14	6	10	48
7	Hakoah Sydney City	30	11	10	9	43
8	Rydalmere Lions	30	11	8	11	41
9	Bulls Academy	30	11	5	14	38
10	Inter Lions	30	10	5	15	35
11	Hurstville FC	30	9	6	15	33
12	Central Coast II	30	8	7	15	31
13	Dulwich Hill	30	7	9	14	30
14	Newcastle Jets II	30	6	11	13	29
15	Prospect United	30	4	14	12	26
16	Mt Druitt Town	30	6	5	19	23

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Blacktown Spartans	30	79	36	+43	69
2	Canterbury Bankstown	30	71	53	+18	51
3	Bankstown City Lions	30	65	45	+20	56
4	Hills Brumbies	30	62	45	+17	49
5	Hakoah Sydney City	30	62	50	+12	43
6	Northern Tigers	30	55	30	+25	59
7	Newcastle Jets II	30	55	73	-18	29
8	Bulls Academy	30	52	50	+2	38
9	Central Coast II	30	46	67	-21	31
10	Rydalmere Lions	30	43	46	-3	41
11	Hurstville FC	30	42	55	-13	33
12	Macarthur Rams	30	40	36	+4	48
13	Dulwich Hill	30	40	58	-18	30
14	Inter Lions	30	39	54	-15	35
15	Mt Druitt Town	30	35	69	-34	23
16	Prospect United	30	33	52	-19	26