Thy ThistedQ vs Osterbro W Statistics & Analysis

Sep 12, 2026 - 12:00
3 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 52%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Thy ThistedQ Thy ThistedQ ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7429010

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Thy ThistedQ win · Thy ThistedQ 3–2 Osterbro W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: B-Liga Femminile Danese
  • Fixture: Thy ThistedQ vs Osterbro W
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Thy ThistedQ 1.32 — Osterbro W 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 24, 2026 (UTC)

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B-Liga Femminile Danese B-Liga Femminile Danese — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Osterbro W 6 5 0 1 15
2 Sundby W 6 3 2 1 11
3 Thy ThistedQ 5 3 1 1 10
4 B 93 Women 5 3 0 2 9
5 Viborg W 6 2 2 2 8
6 Naestved W 6 2 1 3 7
7 AaB 6 1 1 4 4
8 Esbjerg Women 6 0 1 5 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Osterbro W 6 19 7 +12 15
2 Thy ThistedQ 5 18 15 +3 10
3 Sundby W 6 14 9 +5 11
4 B 93 Women 5 9 7 +2 9
5 Viborg W 6 8 7 +1 8
6 Esbjerg Women 6 8 18 -10 1
7 AaB 6 7 19 -12 4
8 Naestved W 6 6 7 -1 7