Platense vs Estudiantes La Plata Statistics & Analysis

Platense

Oct 02, 2026 - 00:15

1 1.25

0 1.35

xG Accuracy: 64%

Estudiantes La Plata

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Estudiantes La Plata Platense ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10111776

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Platense win · Platense 1–0 Estudiantes La Plata

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Coppa Argentina
Fixture: Platense vs Estudiantes La Plata
Kickoff: 2026-10-02 00:15:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
xG (showing): Platense 1.25 — Estudiantes La Plata 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 54.5% · Implied: 39.8% · Probability edge: +14.7 pts · Est. EV: +36.2%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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