Statistiche / Calcio / Grecia. Super League 2 Grecia / Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Pyrgos 1968

Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Pyrgos 1968 Statistics & Analysis

Nestos Chrisoupolis Nestos Chrisoupolis
Sep 13, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.26
0 1.34
xG Accuracy: 64%
Pyrgos 1968 Pyrgos 1968
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Pyrgos 1968 Nestos Chrisoupolis ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7449107

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Nestos Chrisoupolis win · Nestos Chrisoupolis 1–0 Pyrgos 1968
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Super League 2 Grecia
  • Fixture: Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Pyrgos 1968
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Nestos Chrisoupolis 1.26 — Pyrgos 1968 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Super League 2 Grecia Super League 2 Grecia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Larisa 4 3 1 0 10
2 Panionios 4 3 1 0 10
3 Marko 3 3 0 0 9
4 Ellas Syros 4 2 2 0 8
5 Panthrakikos 3 2 1 0 7
6 Panserraikos 4 2 0 2 6
7 Kallithea 3 2 0 1 6
8 Apollon Pontou 4 1 1 2 4
9 Nestos Chrisoupolis 4 1 1 2 4
10 PAOK II 4 1 1 2 4
11 Olympiakos Pireo B 4 1 1 2 4
12 Niki Volos 4 1 0 3 3
13 Asteras Tripolis II 3 1 0 2 3
14 Anagennisi Karditsas 4 0 2 2 2
15 Pyrgos 1968 4 0 2 2 2
16 Zakynthos 4 0 1 3 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Ellas Syros 4 9 3 +6 8
2 Larisa 4 7 1 +6 10
3 Marko 3 7 3 +4 9
4 Panserraikos 4 6 4 +2 6
5 Olympiakos Pireo B 4 6 10 -4 4
6 Kallithea 3 5 4 +1 6
7 Panionios 4 4 0 +4 10
8 Niki Volos 4 4 5 -1 3
9 Panthrakikos 3 3 0 +3 7
10 Apollon Pontou 4 3 4 -1 4
11 Nestos Chrisoupolis 4 3 5 -2 4
12 PAOK II 4 3 5 -2 4
13 Zakynthos 4 2 7 -5 1
14 Asteras Tripolis II 3 1 3 -2 3
15 Anagennisi Karditsas 4 1 5 -4 2
16 Pyrgos 1968 4 0 5 -5 2
Super League 2 Grecia Grecia. Super League 2 Grecia Pronostici