Tsirang vs Thimphu Statistics & Analysis

Tsirang

Sep 16, 2026 - 09:00

0 1.27

4 1.33

xG Accuracy: 34%

Thimphu

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Thimphu Thimphu ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 10, 2026 · 08:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7883167

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Thimphu win · Tsirang 0–4 Thimphu

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Premier League Bhutan
Fixture: Tsirang vs Thimphu
Kickoff: 2026-09-16 09:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
xG (showing): Tsirang 1.27 — Thimphu 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Premier League Bhutan — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Paro	16	14	1	1	43
2	Thimphu City	17	12	4	1	40
3	Thimphu	17	10	1	6	31
4	Transport United	17	9	2	6	29
5	RTC	17	7	4	6	25
6	Drukpa	17	6	5	6	23
7	Bhutan U19	16	5	4	7	19
8	Tsirang	17	4	4	9	16
9	Tensung	17	2	2	13	8
10	Ugyen Academy	17	1	1	15	4

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Paro	16	66	12	+54	43
2	Thimphu City	17	49	12	+37	40
3	Drukpa	17	35	28	+7	23
4	Bhutan U19	16	28	38	-10	19
5	Transport United	17	27	23	+4	29
6	Thimphu	17	26	21	+5	31
7	Tsirang	17	26	44	-18	16
8	RTC	17	24	19	+5	25
9	Tensung	17	13	48	-35	8
10	Ugyen Academy	17	11	60	-49	4