Tensung vs Bhutan U19 Statistics & Analysis

Sep 15, 2026 - 09:00
1 1.31
3 1.29
xG Accuracy: 57%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Tensung Bhutan U19 ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 09, 2026 · 02:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7700764

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bhutan U19 win · Tensung 1–3 Bhutan U19
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Premier League Bhutan
  • Fixture: Tensung vs Bhutan U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-15 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Tensung 1.31 — Bhutan U19 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Premier League Bhutan Premier League Bhutan — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Paro 16 14 1 1 43
2 Thimphu City 17 12 4 1 40
3 Thimphu 17 10 1 6 31
4 Transport United 17 9 2 6 29
5 RTC 17 7 4 6 25
6 Drukpa 17 6 5 6 23
7 Bhutan U19 16 5 4 7 19
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 16
9 Tensung 17 2 2 13 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 7
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Paro 16 66 12 +54 43
2 Thimphu City 17 49 12 +37 40
3 Drukpa 17 35 28 +7 23
4 Bhutan U19 16 28 38 -10 19
5 Transport United 17 27 23 +4 29
6 Tsirang 18 27 48 -21 16
7 Thimphu 17 26 21 +5 31
8 RTC 17 24 19 +5 25
9 Ugyen Academy 18 15 61 -46 7
10 Tensung 17 13 48 -35 8