Drukpa vs RTC Statistics & Analysis

Sep 14, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.16
3 1.44
xG Accuracy: 62%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 RTC RTC ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 08, 2026 · 02:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7571347

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result RTC win · Drukpa 1–3 RTC
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Premier League Bhutan
  • Fixture: Drukpa vs RTC
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-14 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.8% · Draw 29.3% · Away 41.9%
  • xG (showing): Drukpa 1.16 — RTC 1.44 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 23, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Premier League Bhutan Premier League BhutanClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Paro 16 14 1 1 43
2 Thimphu City 16 11 4 1 37
3 Transport United 16 9 2 5 29
4 Thimphu 16 9 1 6 28
5 RTC 17 7 4 6 25
6 Drukpa 16 5 5 6 20
7 Bhutan U19 16 5 4 7 19
8 Tsirang 17 4 4 9 16
9 Tensung 16 2 2 12 8
10 Ugyen Academy 16 1 1 14 4
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Paro 16 66 12 +54 43
2 Thimphu City 16 46 12 +34 37
3 Drukpa 16 31 26 +5 20
4 Bhutan U19 16 28 38 -10 19
5 Transport United 16 27 20 +7 29
6 Tsirang 17 26 44 -18 16
7 RTC 17 24 19 +5 25
8 Thimphu 16 22 20 +2 28
9 Tensung 16 12 44 -32 8
10 Ugyen Academy 16 9 56 -47 4