Moghreb Tétouan vs Renaissance Berkane Statistics & Analysis

Moghreb Tétouan

Sep 27, 2026 - 16:00

0 1.11

0 1.49

xG Accuracy: 49%

Renaissance Berkane

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Renaissance Berkane Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 18, 2026 · 01:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9339690

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Moghreb Tétouan 0–0 Renaissance Berkane

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Botola Pro
Fixture: Moghreb Tétouan vs Renaissance Berkane
Kickoff: 2026-09-27 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 26.7% · Draw 29.0% · Away 44.3%
xG (showing): Moghreb Tétouan 1.11 — Renaissance Berkane 1.49 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Botola Pro — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Maghreb Fès	3	2	1	0	7
2	UTS Rabat	3	2	1	0	7
3	Hassania Agadir	3	2	0	1	6
4	Ittihad Tanger	2	1	1	0	4
5	Raja Casablanca	2	1	1	0	4
6	CODM Meknès	2	1	0	1	3
7	FAR Rabat	1	1	0	0	3
8	Kawkab Marrakech	2	1	0	1	3
9	Wydad Athletic Club	2	1	0	1	3
10	Widad Témara	3	1	0	2	3
11	Amal Tiznit	2	1	0	1	3
12	Moghreb Tétouan	2	0	2	0	2
13	Renaissance Berkane	2	0	2	0	2
14	FUS Rabat	2	0	0	2	0
15	CR Khemis Zemamra	3	0	0	3	0
16	Difaa El Jadida	2	0	0	2	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Hassania Agadir	3	9	6	+3	6
2	CODM Meknès	2	6	3	+3	3
3	Maghreb Fès	3	4	2	+2	7
4	Ittihad Tanger	2	4	2	+2	4
5	UTS Rabat	3	3	1	+2	7
6	Kawkab Marrakech	2	3	3	0	3
7	Wydad Athletic Club	2	3	3	0	3
8	Widad Témara	3	3	3	0	3
9	CR Khemis Zemamra	3	3	8	-5	0
10	Amal Tiznit	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Difaa El Jadida	2	2	8	-6	0
12	Raja Casablanca	2	1	0	+1	4
13	FAR Rabat	1	1	0	+1	3
14	Moghreb Tétouan	2	1	1	0	2
15	FUS Rabat	2	1	3	-2	0
16	Renaissance Berkane	2	0	0	0	2