Irapuato vs Lobos ULMX Statistics & Analysis

Irapuato

Sep 27, 2026 - 01:00

3 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 44%

Lobos ULMX

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
1X2 Irapuato Irapuato ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 00:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10078186

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Irapuato win · Irapuato 3–0 Lobos ULMX

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Primera Premier Messico
Fixture: Irapuato vs Lobos ULMX
Kickoff: 2026-09-27 00:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Irapuato 1.32 — Lobos ULMX 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Primera Premier Messico — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Irapuato	5	5	0	0	15
2	Reboceros La Piedad	6	5	0	1	15
3	Racing de Veracruz	6	4	2	0	14
4	Celaya	7	4	1	2	13
5	Pioneros de Cancún	5	4	0	1	12
6	Tigres de Alica	7	3	2	2	11
7	Zacatepec 1948	6	3	1	2	10
8	Los Cabos United	7	3	0	4	9
9	Jaguares de Chiapas	5	2	1	2	7
10	Montañeses	6	2	1	3	7
11	Cordobés	6	2	1	3	7
12	Deportiva Venados	5	1	2	2	5
13	Chapulineros	6	1	2	3	5
14	Lobos ULMX	5	1	1	3	4
15	Inter Playa del Carmen	5	1	1	3	4
16	Tapachula	5	1	0	4	3
17	Tritons Vallarta	5	0	2	3	2
18	H2O Purepechas	5	0	1	4	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Racing de Veracruz	6	18	7	+11	14
2	Pioneros de Cancún	5	14	6	+8	12
3	Irapuato	5	13	4	+9	15
4	Reboceros La Piedad	6	13	7	+6	15
5	Celaya	7	12	7	+5	13
6	Montañeses	6	10	12	-2	7
7	Tigres de Alica	7	9	7	+2	11
8	Deportiva Venados	5	9	10	-1	5
9	Zacatepec 1948	6	8	8	0	10
10	Los Cabos United	7	7	9	-2	9
11	Chapulineros	6	6	12	-6	5
12	Jaguares de Chiapas	5	5	6	-1	7
13	Cordobés	6	5	7	-2	7
14	Lobos ULMX	5	5	9	-4	4
15	Inter Playa del Carmen	5	5	10	-5	4
16	Tapachula	5	5	14	-9	3
17	Tritons Vallarta	5	3	6	-3	2
18	H2O Purepechas	5	1	7	-6	1