Cordobés vs Irapuato Statistics & Analysis

Cordobés

Sep 05, 2026 - 23:00

0 1.32

3 1.28

xG Accuracy: 43%

Irapuato

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Cordobés Irapuato ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 04:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6170445

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Irapuato win · Cordobés 0–3 Irapuato

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Primera Premier Messico
Fixture: Cordobés vs Irapuato
Kickoff: 2026-09-05 22:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Cordobés 1.32 — Irapuato 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Primera Premier Messico — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Irapuato	4	4	0	0	12
2	Racing de Veracruz	4	3	1	0	10
3	Celaya	4	3	1	0	10
4	Zacatepec 1948	5	3	1	1	10
5	Pioneros de Cancún	4	3	0	1	9
6	Reboceros La Piedad	4	3	0	1	9
7	Tigres de Alica	4	2	1	1	7
8	Los Cabos United	4	2	0	2	6
9	Deportiva Venados	3	1	2	0	5
10	Montañeses	4	1	1	2	4
11	Jaguares de Chiapas	3	1	0	2	3
12	Tapachula	4	1	0	3	3
13	Chapulineros	5	0	2	3	2
14	Lobos ULMX	3	0	1	2	1
15	Tritons Vallarta	3	0	1	2	1
16	H2O Purepechas	3	0	1	2	1
17	Cordobés	4	0	1	3	1
18	Inter Playa del Carmen	3	0	1	2	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Racing de Veracruz	4	15	5	+10	10
2	Pioneros de Cancún	4	12	5	+7	9
3	Irapuato	4	10	4	+6	12
4	Celaya	4	8	2	+6	10
5	Reboceros La Piedad	4	8	4	+4	9
6	Tigres de Alica	4	7	5	+2	7
7	Deportiva Venados	3	6	4	+2	5
8	Zacatepec 1948	5	6	5	+1	10
9	Montañeses	4	6	8	-2	4
10	Los Cabos United	4	5	5	0	6
11	Jaguares de Chiapas	3	3	5	-2	3
12	Lobos ULMX	3	3	5	-2	1
13	Chapulineros	5	3	10	-7	2
14	Tapachula	4	3	11	-8	3
15	Cordobés	4	2	7	-5	1
16	Tritons Vallarta	3	1	3	-2	1
17	H2O Purepechas	3	1	5	-4	1
18	Inter Playa del Carmen	3	0	6	-6	1