Reboceros La Piedad vs H2O Purepechas Statistics & Analysis

Reboceros La Piedad

Sep 05, 2026 - 01:00

3 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 44%

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H2O Purepechas

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Reboceros La Piedad Reboceros La Piedad ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 00:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6120590

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Reboceros La Piedad win · Reboceros La Piedad 3–0 H2O Purepechas

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Primera Premier Messico
Fixture: Reboceros La Piedad vs H2O Purepechas
Kickoff: 2026-09-05 01:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Reboceros La Piedad 1.32 — H2O Purepechas 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Primera Premier Messico — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Racing de Veracruz	3	3	0	0	9
2	Irapuato	3	3	0	0	9
3	Reboceros La Piedad	3	3	0	0	9
4	Celaya	3	2	1	0	7
5	Tigres de Alica	3	2	0	1	6
6	Deportiva Venados	2	1	1	0	4
7	Montañeses	3	1	1	1	4
8	Zacatepec 1948	3	1	1	1	4
9	Pioneros de Cancún	2	1	0	1	3
10	Los Cabos United	3	1	0	2	3
11	Jaguares de Chiapas	3	1	0	2	3
12	Tapachula	3	1	0	2	3
13	Tritons Vallarta	2	0	1	1	1
14	H2O Purepechas	2	0	1	1	1
15	Cordobés	3	0	1	2	1
16	Chapulineros	3	0	1	2	1
17	Lobos ULMX	2	0	0	2	0
18	Inter Playa del Carmen	2	0	0	2	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Racing de Veracruz	3	12	2	+10	9
2	Irapuato	3	7	2	+5	9
3	Reboceros La Piedad	3	6	1	+5	9
4	Celaya	3	6	1	+5	7
5	Tigres de Alica	3	6	4	+2	6
6	Montañeses	3	5	6	-1	4
7	Pioneros de Cancún	2	4	3	+1	3
8	Zacatepec 1948	3	4	5	-1	4
9	Los Cabos United	3	4	5	-1	3
10	Deportiva Venados	2	3	1	+2	4
11	Jaguares de Chiapas	3	3	5	-2	3
12	Lobos ULMX	2	2	4	-2	0
13	Tapachula	3	2	6	-4	3
14	Cordobés	3	2	6	-4	1
15	Chapulineros	3	2	7	-5	1
16	Tritons Vallarta	2	1	2	-1	1
17	H2O Purepechas	2	1	4	-3	1
18	Inter Playa del Carmen	2	0	6	-6	0