Irapuato vs Los Cabos United Statistics & Analysis

Irapuato

Aug 30, 2026 - 00:00

2 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 77%

Los Cabos United

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Irapuato Irapuato ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 29, 2026 · 01:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5909671

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Irapuato win · Irapuato 2–1 Los Cabos United

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Primera Premier Messico
Fixture: Irapuato vs Los Cabos United
Kickoff: 2026-08-30 00:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Irapuato 1.32 — Los Cabos United 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Primera Premier Messico — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Irapuato	5	5	0	0	15
2	Celaya	5	4	1	0	13
3	Racing de Veracruz	4	3	1	0	10
4	Zacatepec 1948	5	3	1	1	10
5	Pioneros de Cancún	4	3	0	1	9
6	Reboceros La Piedad	4	3	0	1	9
7	Los Cabos United	5	3	0	2	9
8	Tigres de Alica	5	2	2	1	8
9	Montañeses	5	2	1	2	7
10	Deportiva Venados	4	1	2	1	5
11	Jaguares de Chiapas	3	1	0	2	3
12	Tapachula	4	1	0	3	3
13	Tritons Vallarta	4	0	2	2	2
14	Chapulineros	5	0	2	3	2
15	Lobos ULMX	4	0	1	3	1
16	Cordobés	4	0	1	3	1
17	H2O Purepechas	4	0	1	3	1
18	Inter Playa del Carmen	4	0	1	3	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Racing de Veracruz	4	15	5	+10	10
2	Irapuato	5	13	4	+9	15
3	Pioneros de Cancún	4	12	5	+7	9
4	Celaya	5	11	4	+7	13
5	Montañeses	5	9	10	-1	7
6	Reboceros La Piedad	4	8	4	+4	9
7	Tigres de Alica	5	8	6	+2	8
8	Deportiva Venados	4	8	7	+1	5
9	Zacatepec 1948	5	6	5	+1	10
10	Los Cabos United	5	6	5	+1	9
11	Jaguares de Chiapas	3	3	5	-2	3
12	Lobos ULMX	4	3	8	-5	1
13	Chapulineros	5	3	10	-7	2
14	Tapachula	4	3	11	-8	3
15	Tritons Vallarta	4	2	4	-2	2
16	Cordobés	4	2	7	-5	1
17	Inter Playa del Carmen	4	2	9	-7	1
18	H2O Purepechas	4	1	6	-5	1