Statistiche / Calcio / Venezuela. Segunda División Venezuela / Mineros de Guyana vs Petare FC

Mineros de Guyana vs Petare FC Statistics & Analysis

Oct 04, 2026 - 19:30
3 1.29
2 1.31
xG Accuracy: 52%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Petare FC Mineros de Guyana ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11687312

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Mineros de Guyana win · Mineros de Guyana 3–2 Petare FC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Segunda División Venezuela
  • Fixture: Mineros de Guyana vs Petare FC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 19:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Mineros de Guyana 1.29 — Petare FC 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 41.4% · Probability edge: +6.8 pts · Est. EV: +10.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Segunda División Venezuela Segunda División Venezuela — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Deportivo Lara 29 19 6 4 63
2 Fundación Lara Deportiva 29 15 8 6 53
3 Yaracuyanos FC 29 13 7 9 46
4 Ureña SC 29 12 10 7 46
5 Zamora FC B 29 11 7 11 40
6 Atletico el Vigia FC 30 11 7 12 40
7 Puerto Cabello II 30 9 7 14 34
8 Club Atletico Barinas 30 9 5 16 32
9 Real Frontera 29 3 3 23 12
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Fundación Lara Deportiva 29 52 32 +20 53
2 Deportivo Lara 29 51 22 +29 63
3 Club Atletico Barinas 30 50 61 -11 32
4 Zamora FC B 29 46 44 +2 40
5 Yaracuyanos FC 29 41 28 +13 46
6 Ureña SC 29 41 34 +7 46
7 Atletico el Vigia FC 30 40 50 -10 40
8 Puerto Cabello II 30 38 44 -6 34
9 Real Frontera 29 22 66 -44 12