Universidad O&M vs Vega Real Statistics & Analysis

Universidad O&M

Oct 03, 2026 - 20:00

0 1.33

1 1.27

xG Accuracy: 64%

Vega Real

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Universidad O&M Vega Real ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11262069

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Vega Real win · Universidad O&M 0–1 Vega Real

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga Mayor Dominicana
Fixture: Universidad O&M vs Vega Real
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 20:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): Universidad O&M 1.33 — Vega Real 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga Mayor Dominicana — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Salcedo	9	7	2	0	23
2	Cibao FC	9	5	2	2	17
3	Vega Real	9	5	1	3	16
4	Delfines Del Este	10	4	3	3	15
5	Moca	9	3	4	2	11
6	Universidad O&M	9	3	2	4	9
7	Jarabacoa	10	1	2	7	2
8	Atlántico	9	0	2	7	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Salcedo	9	18	4	+14	23
2	Cibao FC	9	15	7	+8	17
3	Vega Real	9	14	8	+6	16
4	Universidad O&M	9	12	10	+2	9
5	Delfines Del Este	10	9	7	+2	15
6	Atlántico	9	8	28	-20	0
7	Moca	9	7	6	+1	11
8	Jarabacoa	10	6	19	-13	2