Universidad O&M vs Salcedo Statistics & Analysis

Sep 27, 2026 - 20:00
1 1.29
2 1.31
xG Accuracy: 76%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Salcedo Salcedo ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10111696

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Salcedo win · Universidad O&M 1–2 Salcedo
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga Mayor Dominicana
  • Fixture: Universidad O&M vs Salcedo
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-27 20:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Universidad O&M 1.29 — Salcedo 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Liga Mayor Dominicana Liga Mayor Dominicana — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Salcedo 9 7 2 0 23
2 Cibao FC 9 5 2 2 17
3 Vega Real 9 5 1 3 16
4 Delfines Del Este 10 4 3 3 15
5 Moca 9 3 4 2 11
6 Universidad O&M 9 3 2 4 9
7 Jarabacoa 10 1 2 7 2
8 Atlántico 9 0 2 7 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Salcedo 9 18 4 +14 23
2 Cibao FC 9 15 7 +8 17
3 Vega Real 9 14 8 +6 16
4 Universidad O&M 9 12 10 +2 9
5 Delfines Del Este 10 9 7 +2 15
6 Atlántico 9 8 28 -20 0
7 Moca 9 7 6 +1 11
8 Jarabacoa 10 6 19 -13 2