Jarabacoa vs Salcedo Statistics & Analysis

Jarabacoa

Sep 19, 2026 - 20:00

0 1.16

2 1.44

xG Accuracy: 62%

Salcedo

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Salcedo Salcedo ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8710601

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Salcedo win · Jarabacoa 0–2 Salcedo

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Liga Mayor Dominicana
Fixture: Jarabacoa vs Salcedo
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 22:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 28.8% · Draw 29.3% · Away 41.9%
xG (showing): Jarabacoa 1.16 — Salcedo 1.44 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga Mayor Dominicana — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Salcedo	6	4	2	0	14
2	Cibao FC	7	3	2	2	11
3	Moca	7	3	4	0	11
4	Delfines Del Este	6	3	2	1	11
5	Vega Real	7	3	1	3	10
6	Universidad O&M	7	3	2	2	9
7	Jarabacoa	7	1	0	6	0
8	Atlántico	7	0	1	6

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Salcedo	6	14	3	+11	14
2	Vega Real	7	12	8	+4	10
3	Universidad O&M	7	11	7	+4	9
4	Cibao FC	7	10	6	+4	11
5	Moca	7	7	4	+3	11
6	Atlántico	7	5	23	-18
7	Delfines Del Este	6	4	2	+2	11
8	Jarabacoa	7	3	13	-10	0