Moca vs Cibao FC Statistics & Analysis

Moca

Sep 13, 2026 - 22:00

2 1.18

1 1.42

xG Accuracy: 71%

Cibao FC

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Cibao FC Moca ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 2-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7461764

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Moca win · Moca 2–1 Cibao FC

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Liga Mayor Dominicana
Fixture: Moca vs Cibao FC
Kickoff: 2026-09-13 22:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 29.6% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.0%
xG (showing): Moca 1.18 — Cibao FC 1.42 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 38.6% · Probability edge: +9.6 pts · Est. EV: +19.1%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga Mayor Dominicana — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Salcedo	6	4	2	0	14
2	Delfines Del Este	7	4	2	1	14
3	Cibao FC	7	3	2	2	11
4	Moca	7	3	4	0	11
5	Vega Real	7	3	1	3	10
6	Universidad O&M	7	3	2	2	9
7	Jarabacoa	7	1	0	6	0
8	Atlántico	8	0	1	7

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Salcedo	6	14	3	+11	14
2	Vega Real	7	12	8	+4	10
3	Universidad O&M	7	11	7	+4	9
4	Cibao FC	7	10	6	+4	11
5	Delfines Del Este	7	7	3	+4	14
6	Moca	7	7	4	+3	11
7	Atlántico	8	6	26	-20
8	Jarabacoa	7	3	13	-10	0