Statistiche / Calcio / Botswana. Premier League Botswana / Sua Flamingoes vs Enesia

Sua Flamingoes vs Enesia Statistics & Analysis

Sua Flamingoes Sua Flamingoes
Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.40
1 1.20
xG Accuracy: 85%
⚽
Enesia
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Sua Flamingoes Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8690773

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Sua Flamingoes 1–1 Enesia
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Premier League Botswana
  • Fixture: Sua Flamingoes vs Enesia
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
  • xG (showing): Sua Flamingoes 1.4 — Enesia 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League Botswana Premier League Botswana — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Sua Flamingoes 4 2 2 0 8
2 Police XI 3 2 1 0 7
3 Extension Gunners 3 2 0 1 6
4 Enesia 3 1 2 0 5
5 Tonota 3 1 2 0 5
6 Township Rollers 2 1 1 0 4
7 Centre Chiefs 3 1 1 1 4
8 BDF XI 3 1 1 1 4
9 Gaborone United 1 1 0 0 3
10 TAFIC 2 1 0 1 3
11 Nico United 3 1 0 2 3
12 Orapa United 3 0 2 1 2
13 Morupule Wanderers 3 0 2 1 2
14 Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0
15 Prisons XI 3 0 0 3 0
16 Matebele 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Township Rollers 2 4 1 +3 4
2 Police XI 3 3 0 +3 7
3 Sua Flamingoes 4 3 1 +2 8
4 Enesia 3 3 2 +1 5
5 Tonota 3 3 2 +1 5
6 Centre Chiefs 3 3 2 +1 4
7 BDF XI 3 3 4 -1 4
8 Nico United 3 3 4 -1 3
9 Gaborone United 1 2 1 +1 3
10 Extension Gunners 3 2 3 -1 6
11 TAFIC 2 1 1 0 3
12 Orapa United 3 1 2 -1 2
13 Morupule Wanderers 3 1 3 -2 2
14 Prisons XI 3 1 4 -3 0
15 Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0
16 Matebele 3 0 3 -3 0