Statistiche / Calcio / Botswana. Premier League Botswana / Enesia vs Matebele

Enesia vs Matebele Statistics & Analysis

⚽
Enesia
Sep 12, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.37
0 1.23
xG Accuracy: 64%
Matebele Matebele
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Enesia Enesia ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:04 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7452459

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Enesia win · Enesia 1–0 Matebele
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Premier League Botswana
  • Fixture: Enesia vs Matebele
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Enesia 1.37 — Matebele 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League Botswana Premier League Botswana — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Sua Flamingoes 4 2 2 0 8
2 Police XI 3 2 1 0 7
3 Extension Gunners 3 2 0 1 6
4 Enesia 3 1 2 0 5
5 Tonota 3 1 2 0 5
6 Township Rollers 2 1 1 0 4
7 Centre Chiefs 3 1 1 1 4
8 BDF XI 3 1 1 1 4
9 Gaborone United 1 1 0 0 3
10 TAFIC 2 1 0 1 3
11 Nico United 3 1 0 2 3
12 Orapa United 3 0 2 1 2
13 Morupule Wanderers 3 0 2 1 2
14 Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0
15 Prisons XI 3 0 0 3 0
16 Matebele 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Township Rollers 2 4 1 +3 4
2 Police XI 3 3 0 +3 7
3 Sua Flamingoes 4 3 1 +2 8
4 Enesia 3 3 2 +1 5
5 Tonota 3 3 2 +1 5
6 Centre Chiefs 3 3 2 +1 4
7 BDF XI 3 3 4 -1 4
8 Nico United 3 3 4 -1 3
9 Gaborone United 1 2 1 +1 3
10 Extension Gunners 3 2 3 -1 6
11 TAFIC 2 1 1 0 3
12 Orapa United 3 1 2 -1 2
13 Morupule Wanderers 3 1 3 -2 2
14 Prisons XI 3 1 4 -3 0
15 Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0
16 Matebele 3 0 3 -3 0