Academica Recea vs Sighetu Marmației Statistics & Analysis

Academica Recea

Oct 02, 2026 - 12:00

1 1.26

0 1.34

xG Accuracy: 64%

Sighetu Marmației

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Sighetu Marmației Academica Recea ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 01:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10967771

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Academica Recea win · Academica Recea 1–0 Sighetu Marmației

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga III - Serie 8
Fixture: Academica Recea vs Sighetu Marmației
Kickoff: 2026-10-02 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
xG (showing): Academica Recea 1.26 — Sighetu Marmației 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga III - Serie 8 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Minaur Baia Mare	7	5	1	1	16
2	SCM Zalău	7	4	1	2	13
3	Crişul Sântandrei	7	4	1	2	13
4	Viitorul Cluj	7	3	3	1	12
5	Sănătatea Cluj	7	3	3	1	12
6	Sânmartin	7	3	3	1	12
7	Academica Recea	7	4	0	3	12
8	Sighetu Marmației	7	2	2	3	8
9	Bihorul Beiuş	7	2	2	3	8
10	Unirea Dej	7	1	2	4	5
11	Unirea Tășnad	7	0	3	4	3
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	7	0	1	6	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Minaur Baia Mare	7	18	6	+12	16
2	Viitorul Cluj	7	16	9	+7	12
3	Sânmartin	7	14	10	+4	12
4	Academica Recea	7	14	14	0	12
5	SCM Zalău	7	12	5	+7	13
6	Sănătatea Cluj	7	12	5	+7	12
7	Crişul Sântandrei	7	12	10	+2	13
8	Sighetu Marmației	7	9	8	+1	8
9	Bihorul Beiuş	7	7	9	-2	8
10	Transilvania Sport Academy	7	6	24	-18	1
11	Unirea Dej	7	4	11	-7	5
12	Unirea Tășnad	7	2	15	-13	3